Timberwolves vs. Mavericks Game 5 prediction, how to watch, TV channel, odds - May 30 (2024)

Data Skrive

In Game 5 of the Western Conference Finals, the Minnesota Timberwolves will face the Dallas Mavericks. Thursday's matchup between the Timberwolves and the Mavericks sees the Timberwolves as 4.5-point favorites. The over/under for the game is 210.

Take a look at everything you need to know to know about the Timberwolves-Mavericks game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Timberwolves vs. Mavericks Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Thursday, May 30, 2024 at 8:30 PM ET
• Where: Target Center in Minneapolis, Minnesota
• TV: TNT and truTV

Timberwolves vs. Mavericks Prediction

ATS Pick: Timberwolves (- 4.5)
O/U Pick: Over (210)
Score Prediction: Timberwolves 115 - Mavericks 108

Timberwolves vs. Mavericks Betting Insights

• The Timberwolves have played 61 games with over 210 points scored, their current matchup's point total, this year.
• The Mavericks games have gone over 210 total points scored in 72 of 82 total matchups this year.
• These teams average 230.9 points per game combined, 20.9 more than the over/under of 210.
• Opponents of the two teams average a combined 12.1 more points per game (222.1) than this game's over/under of 210 points.
• Minnesota has won 46, or 75.4%, of the 61 contests in which it was the favorite this year.
• Dallas has come away with 11 wins in the 30 contests it has been listed as the underdog this season.
• Minnesota and Dallas have split the last eight games they've played.
• The Mavericks hold a 5-3 advantage against the spread when squaring off against the Timberwolves.
• The Timberwolves have failed to cover for four consecutive games against the point spread, and they were the favorites in three of those games.

Timberwolves Recent Trends

• The Timberwolves are 4-6 against the spread and 4-6 overall over their last 10 contests.
• Minnesota has averaged a total of 206.9 combined points in its last 10 games, 3.1 less than this matchup's over/under of 210.
• The Timberwolves have played 82 games, with 40 wins against the spread.
• This season, Minnesota has an ATS record of 20-21 in its 41 games as a favorite of 4.5 points or more.
• Timberwolves games this year have gone over the point total 50% of the time (41 out of 82 games with a set point total).
• The Timberwolves record 113.0 points per game, just 2.6 fewer points than the 115.6 the Mavericks allow.
• Minnesota has a 23-10 record against the spread and a 29-4 record overall when putting up more than 115.6 points.
• The Timberwolves are shooting 48.5% from the field this season, 1.0 percentage point higher than the 47.5% the Mavericks allow to opponents.
• Against the spread, the Timberwolves have fared worse when playing at home, covering 18 times in 41 home games, and 22 times in 41 road games.
• Minnesota has hit the over on the over/under in a lower percentage of games at home (43.9%) than games on the road (56.1%).
• As a moneyline favorite, the Timberwolves have won a lower percentage of their home games (.730) compared to away games (.792).

Timberwolves Recent Stats

Timberwolves Leaders

• Anthony Edwards posts 25.9 points, 5.4 rebounds and 5.1 assists per game. Defensively, he averages 1.3 steals and 0.5 blocks.
• Rudy Gobert posts 14.0 points, 1.3 assists and 12.9 rebounds per contest.
• Karl-Anthony Towns posts 21.8 points, 8.3 boards and 3.0 assists per contest, shooting 50.4% from the floor and 41.6% from downtown with 2.2 made treys per game.
• Naz Reid averages 13.5 points, 1.3 assists and 5.2 boards.
• Mike Conley averages 11.4 points, 5.9 assists and 2.9 boards.

Mavericks Recent Trends

• The Mavericks are 6-4 against the spread and 7-3 overall over their last 10 games.
• Dallas' average total over the last 10 games is 2.7 points greater than the 210 total given for this matchup.
• The Mavericks have played 82 games, with 48 wins against the spread.
• So far this season, Dallas has been installed as underdogs by a 4.5-point margin or more 11 times and are 4-7 ATS in those contests.
• Mavericks games this season have gone over the total in 36 of 82 opportunities (43.9%).
• The Mavericks score 11.4 more points per game (117.9) than the Timberwolves allow (106.5).
• Dallas is 47-23 against the spread and 49-21 overall when it scores more than 106.5 points.
• The Mavericks have shot at a 48.1% clip from the field this season, 3.1 percentage points above the 45.0% shooting opponents of the Timberwolves have averaged.
• The Mavericks' winning percentage against the spread at home is .512 (21-20-0). On the road, it is .659 (27-14-0).
• Looking at the over/under, Dallas' games have gone over less frequently at home (16 of 41, 39%) than on the road (20 of 41, 48.8%).
• The Mavericks, when moneyline favorites, have won a lower percentage of games at home (18-9) than on the road (19-4) this season.

Mavericks Recent Stats

Mavericks Leaders

• On a per-game basis, Luka Doncic gives the Mavericks 33.9 points, 9.2 rebounds and 9.8 assists. He also averages 1.4 steals (seventh in NBA) and 0.5 blocked shots.
• Kyrie Irving is averaging 25.6 points, 5.0 rebounds and 5.2 assists per game. He's making 49.7% of his shots from the floor and 41.1% from 3-point range, with 3.0 treys per contest (ninth in NBA).
• Daniel Gafford is averaging 11.0 points, 7.6 rebounds and 1.6 assists per game. He is making 72.5% of his shots from the field (first in league).
• P.J. Washington gives the Mavericks 12.9 points, 5.6 rebounds and 1.9 assists per contest while averaging 1.0 steal and 0.8 blocked shots.
• Tim Hardaway Jr. gives the Mavericks 14.4 points, 3.2 rebounds and 1.8 assists per game while delivering 0.5 steals and 0.1 blocked shots.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.